September 2026
No, There Isn’t a 1 in 10 Chance AI Kills Your Family
Extinction forecasts from inside the frontier labs are feelings expressed as numbers — and they crowd out the AI risks that are actually here.
Essays
September 2026
Extinction forecasts from inside the frontier labs are feelings expressed as numbers — and they crowd out the AI risks that are actually here.
August 2026
Companies think they have to choose between a third-party AI product and an enterprise licence from a frontier AI lab. There is a third way.
March 2026
When code becomes something you evaluate rather than read, software engineering becomes an optimisation problem — and the loss function is the product.
February 2026
Code is becoming abundant. The value is moving upstream — into the system that produces it.
February 2026
LLMs writing code that calls LLMs is not a trick or a scaffold. It's the next abstraction layer of computing.